Angela's Tools · Chapter 4 · Capturing the Sun's Energy Lab 3 of 3 · Recording sheet

Fuel for Flight: Which Biomass Should Become Jet Fuel?

Investigation question: A regional airline wants 30 million litres of jet fuel a year to come from biomass within five years. Which of five sources of biomass should it choose, judged by a systematic process against stated criteria and constraints?

Data-driven decisionGroups of 41 session Setup 5 · Activity 40 · Cleanup 5 min MS-ETS1-2 · assessesMS-ETS1-1 · practiceMS-LS1-6 · supports
NameGroupDate

Your role today

Safety

Procedure

  1. Define: read the brief. The airline needs 30 million litres of jet fuel a year from biomass within five years. Its requirement list says: as much fuel per tonne of feedstock as possible; feedstock cost under $0.40 per litre of fuel; the source must regrow within 5 years; it must not take food or farmland from food; it must be able to supply at least the 30 million litres; and it should cause as little other harm as possible. Write each requirement on a sticky note and sort it as a criterion (a goal to do as well as possible) or a constraint (a line that cannot be crossed). Record the sort and how each one will be measured.
  2. Compute: for each of the five candidates, calculate the fuel it could supply per year (litres per tonne × tonnes available per year) and its feedstock cost per litre of fuel (dollars per tonne ÷ litres per tonne). Record both in the calculation table.
  3. Screen: for each candidate, check every constraint and write pass or fail with the number that decides it. A candidate that fails any constraint is out, no matter how well it scores elsewhere. Highlight the survivors.
  4. Weight: as a group, give each criterion a weight of 1, 2 or 3 (3 = matters most). Write a one-line reason for each weight. Do this before scoring any candidate.
  5. Score: for each survivor, score each criterion from 1 (worst of the survivors) to 4 (best), using the data. Multiply each score by its weight and add the weighted scores to get a total. Record the matrix.
  6. Test: change one weight (for example, raise 'fuel per tonne' from 1 to 3) and recompute the totals. Record whether the winner changed. This is a sensitivity test: a decision that flips with a small change in weights is a close call and should be reported as one.
  7. Recommend: write the group's recommendation in three sentences: the choice, the strongest reason from the data, and the main weakness or trade-off the airline should plan for.
  8. Compare: present your decision and your weights to another group. If they chose differently, find the weight or score that explains the difference and record it.
  9. Answer the analysis questions individually.

Record your observations

Lab 3 recording sheet: Fuel for flight

Work in the order Define, Screen, Score, Test, Recommend. Do not look at the totals until the weights are agreed. Every number you write must come from the dataset or from a calculation you show.

Define: the airline's requirements
Requirement from the briefCriterion or constraint?How we will measure it (number and unit)
As much fuel per tonne of feedstock as possible
Feedstock cost under $0.40 per litre of fuel
Source regrows within 5 years
Does not take food or farmland from food
Can supply at least 30 million litres per year
As little other harm as possible
Candidate biomass sources (teaching dataset: rounded, invented values chosen to show the trade-offs; not real market data)
Simulated teaching dataset: the numbers are invented to be realistic, not measured.
CandidateLitres of jet fuel per tonne of feedstockFeedstock available within 200 km (tonnes per year)Feedstock cost ($ per tonne)Years for the source to regrowTakes food or farmland from food?Other impacts
City yard and food waste120400000200 (continuous supply)NoMixed and messy; needs sorting; otherwise goes to landfill
Used cooking oil900200006000 (continuous supply)NoSmall supply already wanted by other buyers
Corn grain4003000002001YesFertilizer and irrigation water; raises food prices
Fast-growing grass on marginal land250150000801No, if kept off farmlandNeeds land and water; some habitat lost; harvest is seasonal
Forest timber (pine)2305000006030 to 40NoForest habitat lost; soil erosion after cutting
All five finished fuels have about the same energy per litre (roughly 35 MJ) and release about the same carbon dioxide per litre when burned, because they are refined into nearly the same hydrocarbons. The differences are in the source.
Compute: two numbers for each candidate
CandidateFuel per year (litres per tonne × tonnes per year)Enough for 30,000,000 L? (yes/no)Feedstock cost per litre ($ per tonne ÷ litres per tonne)
City yard and food waste
Used cooking oil
Corn grain
Fast-growing grass
Forest timber
Screen: pass or fail on each constraint
CandidateCost under $0.40/L?Regrows within 5 years?No food competition?Supplies 30 million L?Survivor?
City yard and food waste
Used cooking oil
Corn grain
Fast-growing grass
Forest timber
Score: weighted decision matrix for the survivors (score 1 to 4, times weight)
CriterionWeight (1-3) and reasonSurvivor 1: score × weightSurvivor 2: score × weightSurvivor 3 (if any): score × weight
Fuel per tonne of feedstock
Lowest cost per litre
Supply margin above 30 million L
Least other harm
Reliability of supply through the year
TOTAL
Test: change one weight and recompute
Weight changed (criterion, old → new)New total, survivor 1New total, survivor 2Did the winner change?
1.Show the calculation of fuel per year for the fast-growing grass and for the used cooking oil. Which one could supply the airline's 30 million litres on its own?
2.Show the calculation of feedstock cost per litre for corn grain and for city waste. Which passes the $0.40 constraint?

Analysis questions

3.List each candidate that failed the screen and the single constraint (with its number) that removed it. Why is it fair to remove forest timber even though it could make the second-largest amount of fuel per year and has the largest supply?
4.State your group's recommendation, the strongest piece of data behind it, and the main trade-off the airline should plan for.
5.In your sensitivity test, did changing one weight change the winner? What does that tell the airline about how confident it should be in the decision?
6.Every candidate on the list is biomass. Trace the energy in a litre of grass-based jet fuel back to its original source, naming each step.
7.A classmate says, 'Biofuel is carbon-free, so the airline can stop worrying about carbon dioxide.' Use the dataset note and what you know about photosynthesis to correct the claim.
8.A sixth candidate is proposed: algae grown in open ponds on desert land. Name the three numbers from the dataset columns you would need before you could screen and score it, and predict which constraint it is most likely to fail.
Angela's Tools · Chapter 4 · Capturing the Sun's EnergyLab 3 of 3 · Student recording sheet